Week 10: Digging into Theory
May 14, 2026
This week I was mainly working on the theory part of the project. Since it still needs more quantitative comparison, I read a few papers, including Cardoso and Pani’s article on dark compact objects, which is a reference for the kinds of horizonless or near-horizon-modified objects that could mimic black holes and for how their ringdown signals can differ. They point out that since the early ringdown signal is determined mainly by the photon sphere rather than directly by the horizon, objects without an event horizon may produce a black-hole-like ringdown at first, with deviations appearing later as echoes. Almheiri et al.’s Reviews of Modern Physics article discusses the island formula and how some recent work has shown that black-hole evaporation can be unitary, which helps explain why near-horizon quantum structure is taken seriously. From these papers, I was building a comparison table, which is useful for updating the theory section and adding a short subsection on what the present bound cannot constrain, showing each candidate non-Kerr model, its predicted fractional frequency shift at stellar-mass scales, and whether the current 17% bound, which comes from combining the validated events and represents the largest fractional shift in the ringdown frequency away from the Kerr prediction that the current data still allow, can disfavor it. Anything much smaller would remain compatible with the present observations, and anything significantly above this level would be disfavored by the current data.

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